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CHIMERIX : MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (form 10-K)

usscmc by usscmc
February 25, 2021
China Public Procurement : BUSINESS UPDATE
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The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with
"Selected Financial Data" and our financial statements and related notes
included elsewhere in this Annual Report. This discussion and analysis and other
parts of this Annual Report contain forward-looking statements based upon
current beliefs, plans and expectations that involve risks, uncertainties and
assumptions, such as statements regarding our plans, objectives, expectations,
intentions and projections. Our actual results and the timing of selected events
could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking
statements as a result of several factors, including those set forth under "Risk
Factors" and elsewhere in this Annual Report. You should carefully read the
"Risk Factors" section of this Annual Report to gain an understanding of the
important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our
forward-looking statements. Please also see the section entitled
"Forward-Looking Statements."

Overview


Chimerix is a development-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to
accelerating the advancement of innovative medicines that make a meaningful
impact in the lives of patients living with cancer and other serious diseases.
Our three most advanced clinical-stage development programs are brincidofovir
(BCV), ONC201 and dociparstat sodium (DSTAT). BCV is an antiviral drug candidate
developed as a potential medical countermeasure for smallpox and is currently
under review for regulatory approval in the United States. ONC201 is currently
being investigated in a number of efficacy studies for recurrent H3 K27M-mutant
glioma and a confirmatory response rate assessment, potentially sufficient for
accelerated approval, is expected later this year. DSTAT is in Phase 3
development as a potential first-line therapy in acute myeloid leukemia (AML)
and as a potential treatment for acute lung injury (ALI) in COVID-19 patients.

Recent Developments

BCV Oral Treatment for Smallpox


We completed the rolling NDA submission for BCV tablets and for BCV suspension
for the approval of BCV as a medical countermeasure for smallpox. In December
2020, we announced that the FDA had accepted the filing of the NDA. The FDA
granted priority review and set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date of
April 7, 2021. In January 2021, we received notification from the FDA that the
PDUFA date for review of BCV as a medical countermeasure for smallpox has been
moved to July 7, 2021. Specifically, FDA requested we provide a dose
recommendation for infants up to three months of age. In response, we submitted
to the FDA the requested modelled analyses, which resulted in the same
weight-based dosing recommendation previously proposed for older pediatric
patients. The ability to dose across all pediatric age groups with a convenient
oral suspension formulation is a unique aspect of the BCV smallpox treatment.
The FDA required an additional three months to review this information. We do
not expect a delayed FDA action date to impact the timing of the BARDA request
for proposal, which is expected this quarter, nor the potential timing of first
shipments of BCV to the strategic national stockpile, expected in the second
half of this year.

Imipridones and ONC201

Imipridones are a potential new class of selective cancer therapies. These drug
candidates target specific G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) and mitochondrial
caseinolytic protease P (ClpP), in an effort to produce cancer cell death. The
imipridone
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chemical scaffold provides an opportunity to target GPCRs and ClpP with
differential specificity and function. ONC201 selectively targets Dopamine
Receptor D2 (DRD2) and ClpP. ONC201 has selectively induced cell death in cancer
by binding to and differentially altering activity of DRD2 and ClpP. Clinical
trials of ONC201 in glioma patients with the H3 K27M-mutation are underway at
several locations in the U.S. Based on discussions with the FDA, we plan to
integrate data from ongoing ONC201 trials into a registration cohort with the
potential for an NDA submission seeking accelerated approval. A Blinded
Independent Central Review analysis of Overall Response Rate (ORR) is expected
to take place in 2021 which, if favorable, may form the basis for an NDA
submission seeking accelerated of ONC201 in the United States.

ONC206 and ONC212


ONC206 is a DRD2 antagonist and ClpP agonist that demonstrated enhanced
non-competitive DRD2 antagonism relative to ONC201, in preclinical studies and
additionally showed disruption of DRD2 homodimers. The first-in-human clinical
trial of ONC206 for adults with recurrent primary central nervous system tumors
is ongoing at the National Institute of Health (NCT04541082). ONC212 is an
investigational agonist of the orphan GPCR tumor suppressor GPR132, as well as
ClpP. Similar to the potential downstream effects of ONC201 and ONC206, in vitro
studies ONC212 has activated the integrated stress response, inhibited Ras
signaling and selectively killed tumor cells. Currently ONC212 is in
IND-enabling studies.

Dociparstat for the Treatment of Acute Lung Injury (ALI) in COVID-19 Patients


In April 2020, we announced the initiation of a Phase 2/3 study of DSTAT in
patients with acute lung injury (ALI) from COVID-19. The study is a randomized,
double-blind, placebo-controlled, Phase 2/3 trial to determine the safety and
efficacy of DSTAT in adults with severe COVID-19 who are at high risk of
respiratory failure. Eligible patients have confirmed COVID-19 and require
hospitalization and supplemental oxygen therapy. The primary endpoint of the
study is the proportion of patients who survive and do not require mechanical
ventilation through day 28. Additional endpoints include time to improvement as
assessed by the NIAID ordinal scale, time to hospital discharge, time to
resolution of fever, number of ventilator-free days, all-cause mortality, and
changes in key biomarkers.

The Phase 2 portion of the study enrolled two cohorts of 12 patients each to
confirm the maximum safe dose with reviews by the Data Safety Management Board
(DSMB) after completion of each cohort.

Of the 12 patients enrolled in the first cohort, six received a 4mg/kg bolus
dose of DSTAT followed by a continuous infusion of 0.25mg/kg/hour and six
received placebo. Although in a small number of patients, subject to demographic
imbalances, early indications suggest a possible clinical benefit for patients
on DSTAT compared to patients on placebo. Chimerix has also completed enrollment
of the second cohort of patients randomized 2:1 to receive a 4mg/kg bolus dose
of DSTAT followed by a continuous infusion of 0.325mg/kg/hour versus placebo.
Based on the safety assessment of the independent safety monitoring committee
after these patients have completed treatment, Chimerix will consider advancing
to the third cohort of approximately 50 patients at the selected dose. Results
from the second cohort are expected to be announced in the second quarter.

The second cohort is fully enrolled and the data will be compiled for review by
the DSMB. Following review, the DSMB will recommend a dose for the third cohort
which will include approximately 50 additional patients (74 total). A formal
analysis of all endpoints, including supportive biomarkers will be performed at
the conclusion of the third cohort, completing the Phase 2 portion of the study.
Contingent upon positive results, the Phase 3 portion of the study will enroll
approximately 450 patients.

Dociparstat for First-Line Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML)


During 2020, we conducted an end of Phase 2 meeting with the FDA related to our
development of DSTAT in AML, which informed the design of the Phase 3 trial. We
recently opened clinical trial sites and are ready to begin screening patients
for our 570-subject Phase 3 Dociparstat in AML with Standard Chemotherapy (DASH
AML) study of DSTAT for the treatment of AML.

DASH AML is a randomized, double-blinded trial of approximately 570 newly
diagnosed AML patients. Patients will receive DSTAT in combination with standard
cytarabine plus anthracycline (7+3) induction and cytarabine consolidation
chemotherapy or will receive standard of care (7+3) induction and consolidation
chemotherapy alone.

In order to supplement the previously reported data from pilot and Phase 2
studies and further evaluate DSTAT's potential mechanism of action, DASH AML
includes an early assessment of comparative CR and MRD rates among the first 80
evaluable patients.

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The data from the first 80 evaluable patients of the trial are expected to be
unblinded, reported publicly, and available for ongoing analysis of later
endpoints, unless the independent DMC determines that exceptional pre-specified
thresholds have been achieved, in which case the DMC will have the discretion to
maintain blinding, which would allow inclusion of these patients in the final
analysis.

Public Offering of Common Stock


In January 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the "Underwriting
Agreement") with Jefferies LLC and Cowen and Company, LLC, as representatives of
the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the "Underwriters"),
relating to the issuance and sale of 11,765,000 shares (the "Shares") of the
Company's common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the "Common Stock"). The
price to the public in this offering is $8.50 per share, and the Underwriters
agreed to purchase the Shares pursuant to the Underwriting Agreement at a price
of $7.99 per share. Under the terms of the Underwriting Agreement, the Company
granted the Underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 1,764,750 additional
shares of Common Stock at the public offering price which was exercised in full.
The net proceeds to the Company from this offering were approximately $107.8
million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and estimated
offering expenses. The offering closed on January 25, 2021.

Business Development Review


In addition to our transactions with Cantex and Oncoceutics, management is
continuing to conduct a review and assessment of potential transaction
opportunities with the goal of building our product candidate pipeline,
including, but not limited to, licensing, merger or acquisition transactions,
issuing or transferring shares of common stock, or the license, purchase or sale
of specific assets, in addition to other potential actions aimed at maximizing
stockholder value. There can be no assurance that this review will result in the
identification or consummation of any additional transaction.

Financial Overview

Revenues

To date, we have not generated any revenue from product sales. All of our
revenue to date has been derived from a government grant and contract and the
receipt of up-front proceeds under our collaboration and license agreements.


In February 2011, we entered into a contract with BARDA, a U.S. governmental
agency that supports the advanced research and development, manufacturing,
acquisition, and stockpiling of medical countermeasures. The contract originally
consisted of an initial performance period, referred to as the base performance
segment, which ended on May 31, 2013, plus up to four extension periods,
referred to as option segments, which have all been exercised. The contract is a
cost-plus fixed fee development contract. Under the contract as currently in
effect, we may receive up to $75.8 million in expense reimbursement and $5.3
million in fees. We are currently performing under the fourth option segment of
the contract during which we may receive up to a total of $4.6 million in
expense reimbursement and fees. The second and third option segments were
completed on August 20, 2020. The fourth option segment is scheduled to end on
April 30, 2021. As of December 31, 2020, of the total funding the Company had
invoiced an aggregate of $75.5 million with respect to the base performance
segment and the four option segments. Under the BARDA contract, we recognized
revenue of $5.3 million, $7.6 million, and $7.2 million during the twelve months
ended December 31, 2020, 2019, and 2018, respectively.

In September 2019, we entered into a license agreement with SymBio for worldwide
rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize BCV in all human indications,
excluding the use for treatment of orthopoxviruses, including smallpox. Under
the contract, we received a $5.0 million upfront payment in October 2019 and
could receive up to an additional $180.0 million in potential regulatory and
commercial milestones. Since the license agreement was entered into in September
2019, we have recognized all of the $5.0 million of revenue related to the
upfront payment. The revenue from regulatory and commercial milestones and
royalties from net sales will be recognized upon occurrence of the triggering
events.

In the future, we may generate revenue from a combination of product sales,
license fees, milestone payments and royalties from the sales of products
developed under licenses of our intellectual property. We expect that any
revenue we generate will fluctuate from quarter to quarter as a result of the
timing and amount of license fees, milestone and other payments, and the amount
and timing of payments that we receive upon the sale of our products, to the
extent any are successfully commercialized. If we fail to complete the
development of any product candidates in a timely manner or obtain regulatory
approval for them, our ability to generate future revenue, and our results of
operations and financial position, would be materially adversely affected.
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Research and Development Expenses


Since our inception, we have focused our resources on our research and
development activities, including conducting preclinical studies and clinical
trials, manufacturing development efforts and activities related to regulatory
filings for our product candidates. We recognize research and development
expenses as they are incurred. Costs for certain development activities are
recognized based on an evaluation of the progress to completion of specific
tasks using information and data provided to us by our vendors. We cannot
determine with certainty the duration and completion costs of the current or
future clinical studies of any product candidates. Our research and development
expenses consist primarily of:

•fees paid to consultants and contract research organizations (CROs), including
in connection with preclinical and clinical trials, and other related clinical
trial fees, such as for investigator grants, patient screening, laboratory work,
clinical trial database management, clinical trial material management and
statistical compilation and analysis;
•salaries and related overhead expenses, which include stock option, restricted
stock units and employee stock purchase program compensation and benefits, for
personnel in research and development functions;
•payments to third-party manufacturers, which produce, test and package drug
substance and drug product (including continued testing of process validation
and stability);
•costs related to legal and compliance with regulatory requirements; and
•license fees for and milestone payments related to licensed products and
technologies.

The table below summarizes our research and development expenses for the periods
indicated (in thousands). Our direct research and development expenses consist
primarily of external costs, such as fees paid to investigators, consultants,
central laboratories and CROs, in connection with our clinical trials,
preclinical development, and payments to third-party manufacturers of drug
substance and drug product. We typically use our employee and infrastructure
resources across multiple research and development programs.
                                                                           

Years Ended December 31,

                                                                   2020              2019              2018
Direct research and development expenses                        $ 19,125

$ 22,101$ 31,325
Research and development personnel costs – excluding
stock-based compensation

                                          11,543            12,705            13,488

Research and development personnel costs – stock-based
compensation

                                                       2,969             4,089             5,343
Indirect research and development expenses                         2,595             3,393             5,083
   Total research and development expenses                      $ 36,232$ 42,288$ 55,239



The successful development of product candidates is highly uncertain. At this
time, we cannot reasonably estimate the nature, timing or costs of the efforts
that will be necessary to complete the development of any product candidates or
the period, if any, in which material net cash inflows from any product
candidates may commence. This is due to the numerous risks and uncertainties
associated with our business, as detailed in Part II, Item IA, "Risk Factors" in
this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in our other filings with the SEC.

Dociparstat sodium (DSTAT)


In July of 2019, we acquired DSTAT from Cantex Pharmaceuticals. In connection
with the transaction, we recorded in 2019 a total of $65.0 million in expense.
This is comprised of a $30.0 million upfront payment, $34.9 million for the fair
value of the 10.0 million shares of common stock issued and $0.1 million in
transaction costs. As we continue to focus on the development of DSTAT for
treatment of AML patients and COVID-19, we expect research and development
expense to increase with the ongoing and planned clinical trials. We are
currently enrolling a Phase 2/3 study of DSTAT in ALI for patients with COVID-19
and have initiated our Phase 3 DASH AML trial.

Brincidofovir


We are developing BCV for the treatment of smallpox. Under our cost-plus-fixed
fee BARDA contract and additional costs we are not seeking reimbursement for
from BARDA, we incurred expense in connection with the development of
orthopoxvirus animal models, the demonstration of efficacy and pharmacokinetics
of BCV in the animal models, the conduct of an open label clinical safety study
for subjects with DNA viral infections, the manufacture and process validation
of bulk drug substance and BCV 100 mg tablets, and submission of the NDA to the
FDA. In addition, we have incurred additional supportive costs for the
development of BCV for smallpox that we are not seeking reimbursement for from
BARDA.
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Historically, the majority of our research and development efforts had been
focused on completing our Phase 3 trial of BCV for prevention of CMV in HCT
recipients (SUPPRESS), our trial of BCV as a treatment for AdV (AdVise), the
Adenovirus after Allogeneic Pediatric Transplantation (AdAPT) study in pediatric
HCT recipients and our other clinical and preclinical studies and other work
needed to provide sufficient data supporting the safety, tolerability and
efficacy of BCV for approval in the United States and equivalent health
authority approval outside the United States. In May 2019, we discontinued both
the oral and IV development programs of BCV in all indications other than
smallpox and the associated clinical trials.

General and Administrative Expenses


General and administrative expenses consist primarily of salaries and related
costs for employees in executive, finance, marketing, investor relations,
information technology, legal, human resources and administrative support
functions, including share-based compensation expenses and benefits. Other
significant general and administrative expenses include costs related to
commercial readiness efforts, accounting and legal services, costs of various
consultants, director and officer liability insurance, occupancy costs and
information systems.

Interest Income and Other, Net

Interest income and other, net consists primarily of interest earned on our
cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments.

Share-based Compensation


The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) authoritative guidance requires
that share-based payment transactions with employees be recognized in the
financial statements based on their fair value and recognized as compensation
expense over the vesting period. Total consolidated share-based compensation
expense of $5.6 million, $9.5 million and $13.1 million was recognized in the
years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. The share-based
compensation expense recognized included expense for stock options, RSUs and our
employee stock purchase plan purchase rights.

We estimate the fair value of our share-based awards to employees and directors
using the Black-Scholes pricing model. This estimate is affected by our stock
price as well as assumptions including the expected volatility, expected term,
risk-free interest rate, expected dividend yield, expected rate of forfeiture
and the fair value of the underlying common stock on the date of grant.

For performance-based RSUs, we begin to recognize the expense when it is deemed
probable that the performance-based goal will be met. We evaluate the
probability of achieving performance-based goals on a quarterly basis.

Critical Accounting Policies and Significant Judgments and Estimates


Our management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of
operations is based on our audited consolidated financial statements, which have
been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the
United States of America (GAAP). The preparation of these consolidated financial
statements requires us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported
amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. On an ongoing basis, we
evaluate these estimates and judgments. We base our estimates on historical
experience and on various assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the
circumstances. These estimates and assumptions form the basis for making
judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities and the recording
of revenues and expenses that are not readily apparent from other sources.
Actual results and experiences may differ materially from these estimates. In
addition, our reported financial condition and results of operations could vary
if new accounting standards are enacted that are applicable to our business.

Our significant accounting policies are described in Note 1 to our audited
consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2020 included
in this Annual Report. We believe that our accounting policies relating to
revenue recognition, research and development prepaids and accruals, investments
and share-based compensation are the most critical to understanding and
evaluating our reported financial results. We have identified these policies as
critical because they both are important to the presentation of our financial
condition and results of operations and require us to make judgments and
estimates on matters that are inherently uncertain and may change in future
periods. For more information regarding these policies, you should refer to Note
1 to our audited consolidated financial statements included in this Annual
Report.

Revenue Recognition


Our revenues generally consist of (i) contract revenue - revenue generated under
federal contracts, and (ii) collaboration and licensing revenue - revenue
related to non-refundable upfront fees, royalties and milestone payments earned
under license
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agreements. Revenue is recognized in accordance with the criteria outlined in
Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 606 issued by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB). Following this accounting pronouncement, a five-step
approach is applied for recognizing revenue, including (1) identify the contract
with a customer; (2) identify the performance obligations in the contract; (3)
determine the transaction price; (4) allocate the transaction price to the
performance obligations in the contract; and (5) recognize revenue when, or as,
the entity satisfies a performance obligation.

Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA)


In February 2011, we entered into a contract with BARDA for the advanced
development of brincidofovir as a medical countermeasure in the event of a
smallpox release. Under the contract, we may receive up to $75.8 million in
expense reimbursement and $5.3 million in fees over the performance of 1 base
segment and 4 option segments. Exercise of each option segment is solely at the
discretion of BARDA. We assessed the services in accordance with the
authoritative guidance and concluded that there is a potential of 5 separate
contracts (1 base segment and 4 option segments) within this agreement, each of
which has a single performance obligation. At present, all option segments (1
through 4) have been exercised, as well as the base segment. The transaction
price for each segment, based on the transaction price as defined in each
segment contract, is allocated to the single performance obligation for each
contract. The transaction price is recognized over time by measuring the
progress toward complete satisfaction of the performance obligation. For
reimbursable expenses, this occurs as qualifying research activities are
conducted based on invoices from company vendors. For the fixed fee, the
progress toward complete satisfaction is estimated based on the costs incurred
to date relative to the total estimated costs per the terms of each contract. We
typically invoice BARDA monthly as costs are incurred. Any amounts received in
advance of performance are recorded as deferred revenue until earned. The base
segment and first option segment were completed prior to adoption of ASC 606.

SymBio Pharmaceuticals


On September 30, 2019, we entered into a license agreement with SymBio
Pharmaceuticals Limited (SymBio) under which we granted SymBio exclusive
worldwide rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize BCV for all human
indications, excluding the prevention and treatment of orthopoxviruses,
including smallpox. We assessed the agreement in accordance with the
authoritative guidance and concluded that the SymBio contract includes multiple
performance obligations. The SymBio contract has one fixed transaction amount of
a $5.0 million upfront payment received in October 2019 and several variable
transaction amounts, up to $180 million, due to us at certain regulatory and
commercial milestones, along with low double-digit percent royalties based on
net sales of BCV. All variable transaction amounts are fully constrained,
therefore the allocated transaction price is $5.0 million. The majority of the
transaction price of the contract has been allocated to the combined performance
obligation of the granting of the license to BCV and associated technology
transfer which was recognized when the technology transfer was completed in the
fourth quarter of 2019. The revenue from regulatory and commercial milestones
and royalties from net sales will be recognized upon the occurrence of the
triggering events or when those transaction amounts are no longer fully
constrained.

Research and Development Prepaids and Accruals


As part of the process of preparing financial statements, we are required to
estimate our expenses resulting from our obligation under contracts with vendors
and consultants and clinical site agreements in connection with our research and
development efforts. The financial terms of these contracts are subject to
negotiations which vary contract to contract and may result in payment flows
that do not match the periods over which materials or services are provided to
us under such contracts.

Our objective is to reflect the appropriate research and development expenses in
our financial statements by matching those expenses with the period in which
services and efforts are expended. We account for these expenses according to
the progress of our research and development efforts. We determine prepaid and
accrual estimates through discussion with applicable personnel and outside
service providers as to the progress or state of communication of clinical
trials, or other services completed. We adjust our rate of research and
development expense recognition if actual results differ from our estimates. We
make estimates of our prepaid and accrued expenses as of each balance sheet date
in its financial statements based on facts and circumstances known at that time.
Although we do not expect our estimates to be materially different from amounts
actually incurred, our understanding of status and timing of services performed
relative to the actual status and timing of services performed may vary and may
result in us reporting amounts that are too high or too low for any particular
period. Through December 31, 2020, there had been no material adjustments to our
prior period estimates of prepaid and accruals for research and development
expenses. Our research and development prepaids and accruals are dependent upon
the timely and accurate reporting of contract research organizations and other
third-party vendors.

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Acquired In-Process Research and Development (IPR&D) Expense


We have acquired and may continue to acquire the rights to develop and
commercialize new drug candidates. In accordance with Accounting Standards
Codification, or ASC, Subtopic 730-10-25, Accounting for Research and
Development Costs, the up-front payments to acquire a new drug compound, as well
as future milestone payments when paid or payable, are immediately expensed as
acquired IPR&D in transactions other than a business combination provided that
the drug has not achieved regulatory approval for marketing and, absent
obtaining such approval, has no alternative future use. Upon obtaining
regulatory approval for marketing, any subsequent milestone payments may be
capitalized and amortized over the life of the asset.

Investments


Investments consist primarily of commercial paper, corporate bonds, and U.S.Treasury securities. We invest in high-credit quality investments in accordance
with our investment policy which minimizes the probability of loss.

Available-for-sale debt securities are carried at fair value as determined by
quoted market prices, with the unrealized gains and losses, net of tax, reported
as a separate component of stockholders' deficit. Realized gains and losses are
determined using the specific identification method and transactions are
recorded on a settlement date basis in interest income (expense) and other, net.
Investments with original maturities beyond three months at the date of purchase
and which mature on, or less than twelve months from, the balance sheet date are
classified as short-term. Investments with a maturity beyond twelve months from
the balance sheet date are classified as long-term. We periodically review
available-for-sale debt securities for other-than-temporary declines in fair
value below the cost basis and whenever events or changes in circumstances
indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. We
evaluate, among other things, the duration and extent to which the fair value of
a security is less than its cost; the financial condition of the issuer and any
changes thereto; and our intent to sell, or whether we will more likely than not
be required to sell, the security before recovery of our amortized cost basis.
Any such declines in value judged to be other-than-temporary on
available-for-sale securities are reported in other-than-temporary impairment of
investment.

Valuation of Share-Based Compensation

We record the fair value of share-based awards issued as of the grant date as
compensation expense. We recognize compensation expense over the requisite
service period, which is equal to the vesting period.

Share-based compensation expense includes stock options, RSUs and employee stock
purchase plan purchase rights and has been reported in our Consolidated
Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss as follows (in thousands):

                                                     Years Ended December 

31,

                                                 2020          2019         

2018

Income Statement Classification:
Research and development expense              $   2,969$ 4,089      $ 

5,343

General and administrative expense                2,599        5,439        

7,731

Total stock-based compensation expense $ 5,568$ 9,528$ 13,074

RSU compensation expense is based on the grant-date fair value of our common
stock.


We calculate the fair value of share-based compensation awards using the
Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model
requires the use of subjective assumptions, including volatility of our common
stock, the expected term of our stock options, the risk-free interest rate for a
period that approximates the expected term of our stock options and the fair
value of the underlying common stock on the date of grant. In applying these
assumptions, we considered the following factors:

•We use historical volatility data to estimate the volatility of our common
stock price.
•We use historical exercise data to estimate expected term.
•We determine the risk-free interest rate by reference to implied yields
available from U.S.Treasury securities with a remaining term equal to the
expected life assumed at the date of grant.
•The assumed dividend yield is based on our expectation of not paying dividends
for the foreseeable future.
•We estimate forfeitures based on our historical analysis of actual stock option
forfeitures.

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The assumptions used in the Black-Scholes option-pricing model for the years
ended December 31, 2020, 2019, and 2018 are set forth below:

Stock Options
                                                  Years Ended December 31,
                                               2020          2019         2018
Expected volatility                           93.24   %     88.77  %     85.83  %
Expected term (in years)                            6.0          6.0          5.9

Weighted-average risk-free interest rate 1.24 % 2.42 % 2.52 %
Expected dividend yield

                           -   %         -  %         -  %
Weighted-average fair value per option     $   1.78$ 1.71$ 3.43



Employee Stock Purchase Plan
                                                  Years Ended December 31,
                                               2020          2019         2018
Expected volatility                           75.39   %     57.22  %     44.01  %
Expected term (in years)                           1.28         1.23         1.23

Weighted-average risk-free interest rate 0.37 % 2.36 % 2.56 %
Expected dividend yield

                           -   %         -  %        

– %
Weighted-average option value per share $ 0.93$ 1.00$ 1.36

Utilization of Net Operating Loss Carryforwards


At December 31, 2020, we had net operating loss carryforwards for federal and
state tax purposes of approximately $551.0 million and $388.5 million,
respectively. At December 31, 2019, we had net operating loss carryforwards for
federal and state tax purposes of approximately $508.1 million and $384.3
million, respectively. In addition, we had tax credit carryforwards for federal
tax purposes of approximately $20.7 million as of December 31, 2020, which begin
to expire in 2022. The future utilization of net operating loss and tax credit
carryforwards may be limited due to changes in ownership. In general, if we
experience a greater than 50 percent aggregate change in ownership of certain
significant stockholders or groups over a three-year period (a Section 382
ownership change), utilization of our pre-change net operating loss
carryforwards is subject to an annual limitation under Section 382 of the Code
(and similar state laws). The annual limitation generally is determined by
multiplying the value of our stock at the time of such ownership change (subject
to certain adjustments) by the applicable long-term tax-exempt rate. Such
limitations may result in expiration of a portion of the pre-change net
operating loss carryforwards before utilization and may be substantial. We have
determined that a Section 382 ownership change occurred in 2002 and 2007
resulting in limitations of at least $64,000 and $762,000, respectively, of
losses incurred prior to the respective ownership change dates. In addition, we
have determined that another Section 382 ownership change occurred in 2013 with
our initial public offering, our private placements and other transactions that
have occurred since 2007, resulting in a limitation of at least $6.7 million of
losses incurred prior to the ownership change date. We may also experience
ownership changes in the future as a result of subsequent shifts in our stock
ownership. Furthermore, under the Tax Act, federal net operating losses incurred
in 2018 and in future years may be carried forward indefinitely, but the
deductibility of such federal net operating losses is limited. It is uncertain
if and to what extent various states will conform to the Tax Act. As a result,
if we earn net taxable income, our ability to use our pre-change net operating
loss carryforwards to offset United States federal taxable income may be subject
to limitations, which could potentially result in increased future tax liability
to us.

                                       66
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019

The following table summarizes our results of operations for the years ended
December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, together with the changes in those
items in dollars and percentages (in thousands, except percentages):

                                                              Years Ended December 31,                   Dollar Change               % Change
                                                              2020                   2019                        Increase/(Decrease)
Revenues:
   Contract revenue                                   $       5,274$    7,604$       (2,330)                     (30.6) %
   Licensing revenue                                             98                   4,915                  (4,817)                     (98.0)
     Total revenues                                           5,372                  12,519                  (7,147)                     (57.1) %
Operating expenses:
   Research and development                                  36,232                  42,288                  (6,056)                     (14.3) %
   General and administrative                                13,656                  21,169                  (7,513)                     (35.5) %
   Acquired in-process research and development                   -                  65,045                 (65,045)                    (100.0) %
     Total operating expenses                                49,888                 128,502                 (78,614)                     (61.2) %
        Loss from operations                                (44,516)               (115,983)                 71,467                      (61.6) %

Other income:

   Interest income and other, net                               994                   3,407                  (2,413)                     (70.8) %
        Net loss                                      $     (43,522)$ (112,576)$       69,054                      (61.3) %



Revenue

For the year ended December 31, 2020, contract revenue decreased to $5.3 million
compared to $7.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2019. The decrease of
$2.3 million, or 30.6%, was related to a decrease in reimbursable expenses
associated with our contract with BARDA. For the year ended December 31, 2020,
license revenue decreased to $0.1 million compared to $4.9 million for the year
ended December 31, 2019 due to our licensing agreement with SymBio.

Research and Development Expenses

For the year ended December 31, 2020, our research and development expenses
decreased to $36.2 million compared to $42.3 million for the year ended
December 31, 2019. The decrease of $6.1 million, or 14.3%, was primarily related
to the following:


•a decrease of $9.1 million related to the discontinuation of both the oral and
IV BCV development programs and the BCV expanded access programs;
•a decrease of $3.5 million in smallpox program expenses;
•a decrease of $2.7 million related to compensation expenses as headcount was
reduced as part of the Company's restructuring activities in May 2019; offset by
•an increase of $9.5 million in DSTAT research and development expenses,
consisting of an increase of $5.4 million in clinical trial initiation
activities and $4.1 million to conclude animal studies and to develop and
manufacture clinical trial material.

General and Administrative Expenses


For the year ended December 31, 2020, our general and administrative expenses
decreased to $13.7 million compared to $21.2 million for the year ended
December 31, 2019. The decrease of $7.5 million, or 35.5%, was primarily related
to the following:

•a decrease of $5.1 million related to compensation expense as headcount was
reduced as part of the Company's restructuring activities in May 2019;
•a decrease of $2.2 million related to business development expenses and to
out-license BCV for non-smallpox indications; and
•a decrease of $0.2 million in legal fees, other professional fees and
operational expenses.

                                       67

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Acquired In-Process Research and Development


We recorded $65.0 million of acquired in-process research and development
expenses for the year ended December 31, 2019, which included $30.0 million for
an upfront payment to Cantex, $34.9 million related to the fair value of common
stock issued to Cantex, and $0.1 million related to Cantex transaction costs,
primarily legal and professional fees. There was no expense related to this for
the year ended December 31, 2020.

Interest Income and Other, net

For the year ended December 31, 2020, our interest income and other, net was
$1.0 million compared to interest income of $3.4 million for the year ended
December 31, 2019. The decrease of $2.4 million was largely attributable to
lower interest rates and lower cash and investment balances.

Comparison of the Years ended December 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018

The following table summarizes our results of operations for the years ended
December 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, together with the changes in those
items in dollars and percentages (in thousands, except for percentages):

                                                              Years Ended December 31,                 Dollar Change             % Change
                                                              2019                    2018                     Increase/(Decrease)

   Contract revenue                                   $        7,604$   7,216          $          388                    5.4  %
   Licensing revenue                                           4,915                      -                   4,915                         *
     Total revenues                                           12,519                  7,216                   5,303                   73.5  %
Operating expenses:
   Research and development                                   42,288                 55,239                 (12,951)                 (23.4) %
   General and administrative                                 21,169                 23,582                  (2,413)                 (10.2) %
   Acquired in-process research and development               65,045                      -                  65,045                         *
     Total operating expenses                                128,502                 78,821                  49,681                   63.0  %
        Loss from operations                                (115,983)               (71,605)                (44,378)                  62.0  %

Other income:


   Interest income and other, net                              3,407                  2,131                   1,276                   59.9  %
        Net loss                                      $     (112,576)$ (69,474)$      (43,102)                  62.0  %


* Not meaningful or not calculable

Contract Revenue


For the year ended December 31, 2019, contract revenue increased to $7.6 million
compared to $7.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2018. The increase of
$0.4 million, or 5.4%, was related to an increase in reimbursable expenses
associated with our contract with BARDA. License revenue was $4.9 million for
the year ended December 31, 2019 due to our licensing agreement with SymBio.

Research and Development Expenses

For the year ended December 31, 2019, our research and development expenses
decreased to $42.3 million compared to $55.2 million for the year ended
December 31, 2018. The decrease of $13.0 million, or 23.4%, was primarily
related to the following:



•a decrease of $8.4 million related to the discontinuation of both the oral and
IV BCV development programs and CMX521 for norovirus;
•a decrease of $2.0 million related to compensation expenses as headcount was
reduced as part of the Company's restructuring activities in May 2019;
•a decrease of $1.9 million in oral brincidofovir smallpox program expenses; and
•a decrease of $1.5 million in legal fees and operational expenses;
                                       68

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

•offset by an increase of $1.2 million in DSTAT research and development
expenses to initiate and conduct animal studies and to develop and manufacture
clinical trial material.

General and Administrative Expenses


For the year ended December 31, 2019, our general and administrative expenses
decreased to $21.2 million compared to $23.6 million for the year ended
December 31, 2018. The decrease of $2.4 million, or 10.2%, was primarily related
to the following:

•a decrease of $2.9 million in commercial readiness costs;
•a decrease of $0.8 million related to compensation expense; and
•a decrease of $0.6 million in legal fees and operational expenses; offset by
•an increase of $1.9 million related to business development expenses and to
out-license BCV for non-smallpox indications.

Acquired In-Process Research and Development


We recorded $65.0 million of acquired in-process research and development
expenses for the year ended December 31, 2019, which included $30.0 million for
an upfront payment to Cantex, $34.9 million related to the fair value of common
stock issued to Cantex, and $0.1 million related to Cantex transaction costs,
primarily legal and professional fees.

Interest Income and Other, net


For the year ended December 31, 2019, our interest income and other, net was
$3.4 million compared to interest income and other, net of $2.1 million for the
year ended December 31, 2018. The increase of $1.3 million was largely
attributable to higher interest rates.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES


As of December 31, 2020, we had capital available to fund operations of
approximately $79.0 million. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is
invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to
liquidity and capital preservation. We have incurred losses since our inception
in 2000 and as of December 31, 2020, we had an accumulated deficit of $712.4
million. We may continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future. The size of
our losses will depend, in part, on the rate of future expenditures and our
ability to generate revenues.

On November 8, 2017, we entered into an at-the-market (ATM) sales agreement with
Cowen and Company, LLC to sell up to $75 million of our common stock under a
shelf registration statement filed in November 2017. As of December 31, 2018, we
had sold an aggregate of 2.8 million shares of common stock pursuant to the ATM
at a weighted average price per share of $4.00 for net offering proceeds of
$10.9 million. We did not sell any shares of our common stock subsequent to 2018
and we terminated the ATM sales agreement with Cowen and Company, LLC in July
2020.

On August 10, 2020, we entered into an Open Market Sale AgreementSM (the
Jefferies Sales Agreement) with Jefferies LLC, as agent, pursuant to which we
may offer and sell, from time to time through Jefferies, up to $75 million of
shares of our common stock. Sales of our common stock made pursuant to the
Jefferies Sales Agreement, if any, will be made under our shelf registration
statement on Form S-3 (File No. 333-244146), which was declared effective by the
SEC on August 17, 2020. We have not sold any shares of our common stock under
the Jefferies Sales Agreement.

On January 20, 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the
"Underwriting Agreement") with Jefferies LLC and Cowen and Company, LLC, as
representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the
"Underwriters"), relating to the issuance and sale of 11,765,000 shares (the
"Shares") of the Company's common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the "Common
Stock"). The price to the public in this offering was $8.50 per share, and the
Underwriters agreed to purchase the Shares from the Company pursuant to the
Underwriting Agreement at a price of $7.99 per share. Under the terms of the
Underwriting Agreement, the Company granted the Underwriters a 30-day option to
purchase up to 1,764,750 additional shares of Common Stock at the public
offering price. The net proceeds to the Company from this offering was
approximately $107.8 million, as the Underwriters' option to purchase additional
shares was exercised in full, after deducting underwriting discounts and
commissions and estimated offering expenses payable by the Company. The offering
closed on January 25, 2021.

We cannot assure that adequate funding will be available on terms acceptable to
us, if at all. Any additional equity financings will be dilutive to our
stockholders and any additional debt may involve operating covenants that may
restrict our business. If
                                       69

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

adequate funds are not available through these means, we may be required to
curtail significantly one or more of our research or development programs, and
any launch and other commercialization expenses for any of our products that may
receive marketing approval. We cannot assure you that we will successfully
develop or commercialize our products under development or that our products, if
successfully developed, will generate revenues sufficient to enable us to earn a
profit.

We believe that our existing cash, cash equivalents, and investments will enable
us to fund our current operating expenses and capital requirements for at least
the next 12 months. However, changing circumstances beyond our control may cause
us to consume capital more rapidly than we currently anticipate.

Cash Flows


The following table sets forth the significant sources and uses of cash for the
periods (in thousands):
                                                                            Years Ended December 31,
Cash sources and uses:                                             2020               2019               2018
   Net cash used in operating activities                       $ (36,038)$ (75,181)$ (53,725)
   Net cash provided by investing activities                      64,713             10,631            105,095
   Net cash provided by financing activities                       1,413                345             11,188
     Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents      $  30,088$ (64,205)$  62,558



Operating Activities

Net cash used in operating activities of $36.0 million for the year ended
December 31, 2020 was primarily the result of our $43.5 million net loss offset
by the change in operating asset and liabilities and the add-back of non-cash
expenses. The change in operating assets and liabilities includes a decrease in
prepaid expenses and other assets of $1.0 million and a decrease of $0.9 million
in accounts receivable offset by a decrease in accounts payable and accrued
liabilities of $0.2 million. Non-cash expenses included add-backs of $5.6
million for stock based compensation and $0.4 million of depreciation of
property and equipment offset by $0.2 million of amortization of
discount/premium on investments.

Net cash used in operating activities of $75.2 million for the year ended
December 31, 2019 was primarily the result of our $112.6 million net loss and
the change in operating assets and liabilities, offset by the add-back of
non-cash expenses. The change in operating assets and liabilities includes a
decrease in accounts payable and accrued liabilities of $4.3 million, an
increase of $0.9 million in accounts receivable and an increase in prepaid
expenses and other assets of $0.8 million. Non-cash expenses included add-backs
of $34.9 million for the fair value of common stock issued in relation to the
Cantex license agreement, $9.5 million for stock-based compensation, $0.6
million of depreciation of property and equipment, $0.3 million for the loss on
disposal of assets, offset by $1.8 million of amortization of discount/premium
on investments.

Net cash used in operating activities of $53.7 million for the year ended
December 31, 2018 was primarily the result of our $69.5 million net loss, offset
by the change in operating assets and liabilities and the add-back of non-cash
expenses. Non-cash expenses included add-backs of $13.1 million for stock-based
compensation, $0.9 million of depreciation of property and equipment, $0.4
million for a loss on the sale of investments, and $0.3 million for a loss on
equity investment, offset by $0.9 million of amortization of discount/premium on
investments. The change in operating assets and liabilities includes a decrease
in prepaid expenses and other assets of $0.6 million and a decrease of $1.4
million in accounts receivable.

Investing Activities


Net cash provided by investing activities of $64.7 million during the year ended
December 31, 2020 was primarily the result of maturities and sales of short-term
investments, offset by purchases of short-term investments. Net cash provided by
investing activities of $10.6 million during the year ended December 31, 2019
was primarily the result of maturities and sales of short-term investments,
offset by purchases of short-term. Net cash provided by investing activities of
$105.1 million during the year ended December 31, 2018 was primarily the result
of maturities and sales of short-term investments, offset by purchases of
short-term and long-term investments.

Financing Activities


Net cash provided by financing activities of $1.4 million for the year ended
December 31, 2020 was primarily the result of $1.4 million from the exercise of
stock options and purchases under the ESPP. Net cash provided by financing
activities of $0.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2019 was primarily
the result of $0.4 million from the exercise of stock options and
                                       70

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

purchases under the ESPP. Net cash provided by financing activities of $11.2
million for the year ended December 31, 2018 was primarily the result of $10.9
million in proceeds from the issuance of common stock, $0.7 million from the
exercise of stock options and purchases under the ESPP, offset by $0.4 million
in payments of deferred offering costs.

Future Funding Requirements


To date, we have not generated any revenue from product sales. We do not know
when, or if, we will generate any revenue from product sales. We do not expect
to generate significant revenue from product sales unless and until we obtain
regulatory approval of and commercialize brincidofovir or any of our other
product candidates. At the same time, we expect our expenses to increase in
connection with our ongoing development activities, particularly as we continue
the research, development and clinical trials of, and seek regulatory approval
for, our product candidates. Furthermore, subject to obtaining regulatory
approval of any of our product candidates, we expect to incur significant
commercialization expenses for product sales, marketing, manufacturing and
distribution. We anticipate that we will need substantial additional funding in
connection with our continuing operations. Based upon our current operating
plan, we believe that our existing cash, cash equivalents and short-term
investments, will enable us to fund our operating expenses and capital
requirements for at least the next 12 months. We have based our estimates on
assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we may use our available capital
resources sooner than we currently expect. Because of the numerous risks and
uncertainties associated with the development and commercialization of our
product candidates, we are unable to estimate the amounts of increased capital
outlays and operating expenditures necessary to complete the development of our
product candidates.

Until such time, if ever, as we can generate substantial revenue from product
sales, we expect to finance our cash needs through a combination of equity
offerings, debt financings, government or other third-party funding, marketing
and distribution arrangements, or other collaborations, strategic alliances or
licensing arrangements. To the extent that we raise additional capital through
the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, the ownership interests of
our common stockholders will be diluted, and the terms of these securities may
include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect the rights of our
common stockholders. Debt financing, if available, may involve agreements that
include covenants limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions,
such as incurring additional debt, making capital expenditures or declaring
dividends. If we raise additional funds through government or other third-party
funding, marketing and distribution arrangements or other collaborations,
strategic alliances or licensing arrangements with third parties, we may have to
relinquish valuable rights to our technologies, future revenue streams, research
programs or product candidates or to grant licenses on terms that may not be
favorable to us.

CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS AND COMMITMENTS


The following table summarizes our contractual obligations at December 31, 2020
(in thousands):
                                            Total            Less Than 1 Year           1 - 3 Years           3 - 5 Years           More Than 5 Years
Operating leases (1)                     $  3,718          $             260          $      2,210$      1,248          $                -
SPL Supply Purchase Obligation           $  3,600          $           1,200          $      2,400          $          -          $                -
Total                                    $  7,318          $           1,460          $      4,610$      1,248          $                -



(1)Consists of our corporate headquarters lease encompassing 24,862 square feet
of office space that expires in July 2026, which decreases to 21,325 feet in
March 2021 as we did not renew the portion of the lease that we subleased out.
Additionally, consists of our laboratory lease encompassing a total of
approximately 7,925 square feet which is located in Durham, North Carolina and
expires in July 2026.

In addition to the amounts set forth in the table above, we have payment
obligations under license agreements that are contingent upon future events such
as our achievement of specified development, regulatory and commercial
milestones. We will be required to make additional payments when certain
milestones are achieved and we are obligated to pay royalties based on future
product sales. As of December 31, 2020, we were unable to estimate the timing or
likelihood of achieving the milestones or making future product sales and,
therefore, any related payments are not included in the table above. In
connection with the development and commercialization of ONC201 and ONC206, in
addition to royalties on product sales, we could be required to pay former
Oncoceutics securityholders up to an aggregate of $360.0 million in milestone
payments, assuming the achievement of all applicable milestone events under the
merger agreement. In connection with the development and commercialization of
DSTAT, in addition to royalties on product sales, we could be required to pay
Cantex up to an aggregate of $587.5 million in milestone payments, assuming the
achievement of all applicable milestone events under the license agreement.

                                       71

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Additionally, we enter into contracts in the normal course of business with CROs
for clinical trials and clinical supply manufacturing and with vendors for
preclinical research studies and other services and products for operating
purposes, which generally provide for termination or cancellation within 30 days
of notice, and therefore are not included in the table above. We also have
agreements with our executive officers that require the funding of specific
payments, if certain events occur, such as a change in control or the
termination of employment without cause. These potential payment obligations are
not included in the table above.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

During the periods presented, we did not have, nor do we currently have, any
off-balance sheet arrangements as defined under SEC rules.

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